Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 4.870515 5.383729 5.931399 6.559940 7.262121 8.023280 8.912001
2026-01-04 4.122401 4.829360 5.632821 6.616060 7.790284 9.151815 10.856231
2026-01-11 3.516796 4.334591 5.316905 6.589594 8.203336 10.192453 12.847118
2026-01-18 3.011564 3.883983 4.985209 6.487590 8.499793 11.124009 14.841888
2026-01-25 2.603573 3.497595 4.677842 6.365693 8.743077 12.010219 16.905746
2026-02-01 2.275564 3.172027 4.404755 6.245478 8.961738 12.881276 19.072426
2026-02-08 2.007643 2.894322 4.159895 6.126340 9.156166 13.732245 21.329193
2026-02-15 1.803651 2.682589 3.981352 6.075944 9.437305 14.738900 23.970017
2026-02-22 1.673394 2.564165 3.924908 6.199813 9.997879 16.247726 27.654201
2026-03-01 1.525387 2.400904 3.779077 6.159601 10.280301 17.330720 30.772094
2026-03-08 1.369747 2.208442 3.564776 5.977836 10.294539 17.948780 33.140497
2026-03-15 1.260937 2.081036 3.442594 5.935974 10.542977 19.005568 36.488510
2026-03-22 1.193563 2.018420 3.426027 6.083289 11.163914 20.853684 41.750346
2026-03-29 1.127902 1.952022 3.395659 6.201405 11.745468 22.710764 47.370172
2026-04-05 1.054689 1.864855 3.318964 6.222881 12.140934 24.254660 52.603737
2026-04-12 0.977585 1.763110 3.205109 6.158599 12.354164 25.452067 57.282806
2026-04-19 0.904886 1.662713 3.083740 6.064869 12.492825 26.508348 61.829293
2026-04-26 0.838952 1.569130 2.966311 5.965388 12.605246 27.521139 66.461845
2026-05-03 0.779103 1.481998 2.853214 5.861929 12.694710 28.493069 71.178531
2026-05-10 0.731402 1.414690 2.773429 5.820657 12.919018 29.813516 77.071577
2026-05-17 0.703910 1.385626 2.768866 5.943604 13.541329 32.191804 86.341826
2026-05-24 0.663915 1.327347 2.697775 5.908478 13.779826 33.645404 93.297106
2026-05-31 0.615450 1.247354 2.573366 5.736984 13.660521 34.157836 97.589040